Recognising the importance of economic intelligence
for safeguarding national security, the Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA) of the US set up an economic
intelligence division immediately after the Agency was
created under the National Security Act of 1947.
Recruitment for this division was directly made from
the universities and economic think tanks and the
division inter-acted closely with the non-governmental
community of economic experts as well as executives of
the multinationals having branches in target countries.
Of all the departments of the US Government, the CIA's
economic intelligence division is believed to have the
largest percentage of PhDs.
Despite this, the CIA's performance was considered
below mediocre. The Congressional Quarterly Researcher (CQR)
wrote on December 11,1992: " After the Soviet
break-up,economists were amazed at the extent to which
the CIA had overestimated the performance of the Soviet
economy, leading many to speculate that the numbers were
hyped to fuel the arms race."
Mr.Allan Goodman, Dean of Georgetown University's
School of Foreign Service, described the CIA's economic
intelligence performance as "between abysmal and
mediocre."
Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan, former Vice-Chairman
of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said after the
Soviet break-up: " For a quarter century, they (the
CIA) told the President everything there was to know
about the Soviet Union, excepting the fact that it was
collapsing (due to a bad economy). They missed that
detail."
Speaking on the CIA's role in economic intelligence
during an address to the Economic Club of Detroit on
April 13,1992, Mr.Robert Gates, then CIA Director, said:
"Long before I became an intelligence analyst, the
(intelligence) community had experts looking at
everything from the stability of major foreign
currencies to water resources in the Middle East…We
had---and continue to have---recognised authorities on
balance of payments of foreign countries, advanced
technology developments, the inner workings of regional
economic groupings and many other economic issues."
He added: " In this post cold war period, I see
three broad tasks for the intelligence community with
respect to economic issues. The first task is to support
US policy-makers in the executive and legislative
branches as they set this country's economic policy
course. The second general economic intelligence task of
the community is to monitor trends in technology that
could affect national security. The third and final
general task is to undertake such counter-intelligence
measures as may be necessary to protect our economy from
those who do not play by the rules. This is a task our
intelligence professionals are uniquely equipped to
handle. We have been doing it for a long time."
Since the end of the cold war, the US Government has
given added importance to economic intelligence from the
intelligence collection as well as counter-intelligence
angles. This is due to a general belief that future
threats to national security could be more economic than
military and that the cold war of the classic mold is
likely to be replaced by a mercantilist cold war, with
different countries vying with each other for market
share through means, fair and foul, and with economic
dominance, instead of only military dominance, becoming
a major objective of state policy.
This led to an interesting debate as to whether the
CIA should confine itself, as in the past, only to the
collection of economic intelligence of interest to the
Government or whether it should also help the US
corporate houses in winning overseas markets.
Admiral Stansfield Turner, CIA Director under
President Carter, wrote in the "Foreign
Affairs" of Fall, 1991: " In an age of
increasing attention to economic strength, there needs
to be a more symbiotic relationship between the worlds
of intelligence and business."
Apparently disagreeing with this view, Mr.Gates told
the Detroit Economic Club:
"Some years ago, one of our clandestine service
officers overseas told me: "I am prepared to give
my life for my country, but not for a company." The
case officer was absolutely right."
Despite this controversy, both the Bush and the
Clinton administrations have been increasingly using the
CIA for assisting the US multinationals. The CQR quoted
an instance in 1990 when on a CIA report that
Indonesia's Suharto was about to award a telecom
contract to Japan's NEC, Mr.Bush intervened to
pressurise Suharto to split it half-half between the NEC
and the USA's AT&T. There have been many other such
instances of the CIA helping US companies.
In an executive order of 1994, Mr.Clinton stipulated
the CIA's economic intelligence role as follows: "
In order to adequately forecast dangers to democracy and
to US economic well-being, the intelligence community
must track political, economic, social and military
developments in those parts of the world where US
interests are most heavily engaged and where overt
collection of information from open sources is
inadequate. Economic intelligence will play an
increasingly important role in helping policy-makers
understand economic trends. Economic intelligence can
support US trade negotiators and help level the economic
playing field by identifying threats to US companies
from foreign intelligence services and unfair trading
practices."
This order legitimised the counter-intelligence role
of the US intelligence community in helping corporate
houses in preventing the penetration of their companies
by foreign intelligence agencies, but was silent on
their assistance to the corporate houses in penetrating
overseas markets through covert action.
The FBI and the General Accounting Office (GAO) have
been greatly concerned over three counter-intelligence
aspects:
- The increasing attempts of not only Russia and
China, but also allied intelligence agencies like
those of France, Germany and Israel to penetrate US
companies, industries and R&D establishments.
- The role played by the US subsidiaries of foreign
companies in helping their intelligence agencies.
- The possibility of the destabilisation of the US
economy by foreign currency and stock market
speculators.
According to Mr. Louis F.Freeh, the FBI Director, 23
countries were found to be engaged in economic espionage
against US targets. He told a Congressional committee
that in 1995, the FBI investigated 800 such cases,
double the 1994 number.
In a congressional testimony of February 1996, the
GAO expressed its concern over the fact that US
subsidiaries of 54 foreign companies had won defence
contracts in sensitive fields in the US. It also gave
instances of recruitment of agents in US companies or
their overseas offices by the French and Israeli
intelligence agencies and alleged theft of sensitive
equipment by visiting Israeli delegations.
The GAO said of Japan: "It has no official
foreign intelligence service. It uses private companies
for the purpose (of external intelligence collection).
It has been quite successful in developing and
exploiting ties with Americans who have access to
classified and proprietary information."
It said of Germany: "It has started a semi-overt
collection of foreign economic intelligence, including
large-scale losses of technology from the US that were
discovered in the early 1990s."
A 1996 study by the American Society for Industrial
Security (ASIS) claimed that since 1992 there had been a
323 per cent increase in the theft of economic and
technological information from US companies, resulting
in an estimated loss of US $ 24 billion annually.
According to a 1995 study by the State Department and
the National Counter-Intelligence Centre, there were 446
instances of theft of technologies from 173 companies.
Only 58 per cent of the affected companies reported the
theft to the FBI. The remaining hushed them up.
Keeping these developments in view, the Clinton
Administration has also taken the following steps:
- The setting-up of a National Economic Council,
which has been described as the economic equivalent
of the National Security Council to focus totally on
economic intelligence and long-term projections.
- The setting-up of a special situation room, called
the Advocacy Centre, in the Commerce Department to
track minute by minute the status of major projects
around the world in which US companies are
interested.
- The enactment in 1996 of an Economic Espionage
Act, to deal exclusively with economic espionage. It
provides for a maximum imprisonment of 25 years.
Congressional testimonies are silent on economic
covert actions to weaken the competitiveness of other
countries and destabilise their economies. However, the
practice of the following methods by the CIA and other
Western intelligence agencies has come to notice:
- Influencing economic decisions by foreign
political leaders and bureaucrats through cash and
other incentives. The US laws and the proposals of
the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD) for banning the use of bribes and
commissions by Western companies and governments for
winning overseas contracts do not apply to their
intelligence agencies.
- Economic psywar to damage the credibility of
foreign companies and their executives and the
quality and safety of their products. In July, 1995,
the French journal "L'Expansion" had
reported instances of such psywar by the CIA against
French firms and their CEOs.
- Destabilisation of the economies of
competitor-nations through currency and stock market
speculators and damaging their competitiveness
through campaigns on issues like alleged employment
of child labour, payment of unreasonable wages,
environmental damage, health hazards of products etc
organised by non-governmental organisations funded
by the intelligence agencies.
The CIA has always had experts in foreign currencies
to monitor and assess movements in the currency markets
abroad. The importance of this capability has increased
tremendously because of the increase in the volume of
currency transactions.
The large volumes transacted in currency markets,
often with the advantage of anonymity provided by
electronic commerce, lend themselves to exploitation by
the intelligence agencies for enhancing their budgets
for clandestine operations and for destabilising the
economies of target countries.
In an article titled "Looking out for Economic
Interests: An Increased Role for Intelligence" in
the "Washington Quarterly" (autumn,1996),
Mr.Samuel D.Porteous, of the Canadian Security
Intelligence Service (CSIS), the external intelligence
organisation, says: "French operatives have been
quoted as saying that just a few economic espionage
operations relating to the currency markets netted
benefits for France that more than paid the cost of
running the entire French intelligence service."
During the Second World War, the main technique for
destabilising the economy of a country was flooding the
country with counterfeit currency notes. Currency and
stock markets did not then have the huge volumes of
transactions that they have today. The tremendous
increase in the volume of transactions, much of it
borderless, and the increasing use of electronic
commerce have placed a disquietingly destabilising
weapon in the hands of intelligence agencies.
Following the 1997 currency turmoil in South-East
Asia, not only Dr.Mahatir Mohammad, the Malaysian Prime
Minister, but also Mr.Li Peng, the then Chinese Prime
Minister, had suspected that external speculators might
have played a role in creating the confusion.
While the US and other Western countries ridiculed
these suspicions, opinion-makers in the US have
themselves been warning their government of possible
threats to the US economy from Chinese and Russian stock
and currency market speculators. In 1997, they had
advised the administration to study the South-East Asian
currency turmoil and draw the necessary lessons.
In a statement before a congressional committee on
November 5,1997, Mr.Jerry Solomon, Chairman of the House
Rules Committee, said: " The communist government
of China is in the midst of offering a whole string of
their controlled businesses on the Hong Kong market,
with the intention of listing them on the New York Stock
Exchange. We need a special watchdog agency specifically
committed to making sure no entity can engineer
fluctuations that could bring our markets down." In
this connection, he cited the South-East Asian currency
turmoil.
Mr.Roger Robinson, an economic expert of the Reagan
administration, told the congressional committee that
there was growing recognition of the "serious
national security dimensions" of Russian and
Chinese bond offerings and equity issues.
Mr.Solomon and Senator Lauch Faircloth called for the
creation of an Office of National Security within the
Securities and Exchange Commission to report regularly
to the Congress on the activities of foreign government
entities in the stock and currency markets of the US.
Under the British Intelligence Services Act of 1994,
the functions of the Secret Intelligence Service (SIS),
also known as MI-6, have been re-defined as obtaining
and providing information as well as performing other
tasks in the interests of national security, prevention
and detection of serious crime and "the economic
well-being of the UK."
Similarly, the French Government amended on March
1,1994, the law relating to its intelligence community
to task it to collect commercial and industrial
intelligence too. The amendment also laid down that the
task of the community would be to protect "the
fundamental interests of the nation". Before the
amendment, the task had been defined as protecting
"national defence interests."
In March, 1995, the French Government set up a
Committee for Economic Competitiveness and Security to
be chaired by the Prime Minister, "to research,
analyse, process and distribute information with the
goal of protecting economic secrets and advising French
firms and Government on trade strategy." Its work
is staffed and co-ordinated by the General Secretariat
for National Defence, the French counterpart of the
Indian Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC). An economic
intelligence office code-named Section R-31 was also set
up in the French Centre for Foreign Trade.
OTHER COUNTRIES
Amongst other countries, which have re-defined the
charters of their intelligence, communities to give
greater priority to economic intelligence are Australia,
South Africa, South Korea and Pakistan. While details of
the Australian directives are not available, a 1994
White Paper of the Nelson Mandela Government allotted
the following additional task to its intelligence
community: "To identify opportunities in the
international environment, through assessing real or
potential competitors' intentions and capabilities. This
competition may involve the technological, scientific
and economic spheres, particularly the field of
trade."
President Kim Dae Jung of South Korea has also
upgraded the priority for economic intelligence and
counter-intelligence. He was reportedly of the view that
the excessive preoccupation of the South Korean
intelligence community with political intelligence to
the neglect of economic intelligence was a contributing
factor for the 1997 collapse of the South Korean
economy.
He is reported to have taken his intelligence
community to task for their failure to detect and report
in time that overseas branches of South Korean companies
had been borrowing recklessly for their expansion and
that these borrowings were not being reflected in the
annual reports of their parent companies in South Korea.
The Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate (ISI) of
Pakistan is based structurally on the continental
European model, with most of its officers from the armed
forces, but, operationally, it has been using the
Chinese technique of adopting the commercial cover for
its overseas operations, in addition to the diplomatic
cover. It has floated a large number of commercial firms
abroad, either through its own retired officers, or
through non-resident Pakistanis (NRPs) and home-based
Pakistani businessmen enjoying its confidence.
This technique played a significant role in its
successful clandestine acquisition of nuclear and
missile technology and equipment from the USA, Canada,
West Europe and North Korea.
Amongst the companies and banks, which had been
associated with its clandestine overseas procurement,
were the Bank of Credit and Commerce International (BCCI),
founded by Mr.Agha Hasan Abedi, which collapsed in 1991,
and the Gulf Shipping Group, based in Geneva, founded by
Mr.Abbas Gokal and his brother, which also collapsed the
same year. Mr.Abbas Gokal was jailed by a British court
in April 1997, on a charge of cheating in connection
with the BCCI collapse.
The ISI and Pakistan's Military Intelligence
Directorate extensively used the BCCI for providing
cover to their officers and for funding clandestine
procurement of nuclear and missile technologies and
equipment. The Gulf Shipping Group was used for the
transport of the secretly procured equipment.
The Army Welfare Trust (AWT), headed by Lt.Gen. (retd)
Farrukh Khan, which was started in the 1970s by the ISI,
has become one of Pakistan's most active business
groups. Amongst the projects controlled by it are a
housing and land development scheme, a sugar factory, a
shoe factory, a woollen garments factory and a glass
factory.
It also controlled the Aksari Commercial Bank and was
planning to expand its business activities to cement and
pharmaceuticals. It had also been permitted by the
Government to go into joint venture partnerships with
foreign companies and was planning joint ventures for
the manufacture of helicopters and Land Rovers.
Amongst other organisations controlled by the ISI are
the Fauji Foundation, which has set up factories for the
manufacture of fertilisers and chemicals and the Shaheen
Foundation, which controlled the private Shaheen
Airlines. It had also been permitted by the Government
to start a satellite TV channel.
In the past, the ISI's economic intelligence
collection efforts were mainly focussed on India. In
1997, its role was expanded with the creation of an
economic intelligence division to collect economic and
financial intelligence all over the world, to monitor
the activities of foreign firms in Pakistan and to
collect evidence of bribery and other wrong-doings in
connection with the signing of contracts with foreign
firms.
The evidence regarding the secret Swiss accounts of
Mrs.Benazir Bhutto, her husband and her mother was
reportedly collected by this division and not by the
Federal Investigation Agency (FIA), the Pakistani
counterpart of India's Central Bureau of Investigation.
CORPORATE INTELLIGENCE
Western, Japanese and Israeli multinationals and
other companies have always maintained their own
intelligence collection capability for monitoring the
activities and R&D efforts of their competitors,
whether in their own countries or abroad.
These capabilities have now become more extensive and
sophisticated because of the availability of a variety
of gadgetry in the open market and of the expertise of a
large number of ex-intelligence officers whose services
have been terminated because of the reduction in the
size of the intelligence agencies of the West and
Russia, after the end of the cold war.
Many of these ex-intelligence officers have floated
private companies to assist corporate houses collect
intelligence about their rival companies and their
executives. These companies are also used by government
intelligence agencies for their purposes.
In July 1995, "L'Expansion" had identified
the Kroll Associates, the Triangle Partnership, the
Futures Group and the SIS International as private
economic intelligence companies, which were allegedly
helping the CIA and other US Government agencies.
Another allegedly similar outfit is the Business
Research Group (BRG) of Geneva, started by Mr. Douglas
C.Bernhardt, author of the book "Perfectly Legal
Competitor Intelligence". He had reportedly been
convicted and fined by a French court in 1991 on a
charge of trying to sell parts of a British Blowpipe
missile to South Africa, in violation of the UN arms
embargo against South Africa, then in force.
An organisation called the Society of Competitive
Intelligence Professionals, with an estimated membership
of 5,000, has been functioning in Europe. It offers its
services to corporate houses not only for improving
their competitiveness, but also for allegedly poaching
talented executives of rival companies.
Another similar organisation allegedly helping
corporate houses is the Association of Former
Intelligence Officers.
The services of such organisations are coveted by
corporate houses because of the contacts of the
ex-intelligence officers not only in various economic
ministries of the government, but also even in the
intelligence and investigative agencies. The corporate
intelligence warfare, which was previously confined to
the military and automobile industries, has since spread
to electronics and pharmaceuticals.
The economic intelligence division of the ISI is
reported to have procured Xerox copies of documents
relating to the Swiss bank accounts of Mrs.Benazir
Bhutto, her husband and mother through the paid services
of a private company run by an ex-CIA officer.
Two interesting examples of recent corporate
intelligence covert actions could be cited.
In 1993, Mr.Jose Ignacio Lopes, head of the purchase
division in the German subsidiary of the US General
Motors, was allegedly persuaded to defect to the
Volkswagen along with the print-outs of 4,000 pages
giving details of the companies from which General
Motors procured components. The General Motors filed a
civil suit against the Volkswagen. Under an out of court
settlement in 1997, the Volkswagen agreed to pay the
General Motors US $ 100 million as damages.
In September 1997, business rivals of the US
telecommunications company AT&T allegedly tapped the
telephone conversations of an executive of the American
company with a senior Argentine bureaucrat regarding
tenders for a project and passed on the tapes to the
local media. It was alleged that the US company was
pressurising the Argentine Government to modify the
tender specifications.
ACTION IN INDIA
Keeping in view the increasing importance of
economic, industrial and technological intelligence,
from the collection as well as counter-intelligence
angles, it would be advisable to have the existing
structure for the collection, assessment and
co-ordination of action in respect of such intelligence
examined by a special task force of the National
Security Council Advisory Board in order to introduce
the necessary changes.
Such changes should cover:
---Revision of briefs of organisations responsible
for economic intelligence collection and counter-intelligence.
---Structural re-organisation to improve collection,
counter-intelligence and assessment; and
---Inter-ministerial and departmental co-ordination
to ensure systematic tasking of the collection agencies, evaluation of
their produce and performance and timely follow-up action.
Author: B. Raman (Director,
Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai)
Date: 2 May 1999
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